NFL Week 14

Ok so the bad Raidahs showed up again against SD; but why not take a chance on a big underdog. SF showed that last week as my upset special won outright.

Onto Week 14

Jax @ Chi -6.5
- biggest factor in this game is the weather; cold, windy off Lake Michigan
- Jax doesn't get any pressure on QB and amazingly Del Rio team that is not tough anymore
- Chi leads league in takeaways and fumbles could be a problem if ball is slick and hard
- Jax 3 of 4 wins are actually on the road; so maybe they are just having an offseason
- due to weather I like this game to go well under the 40 total and the Bears to win a low scoring game but Jax to cover

Minn -10 @ Det
- ok I really wanted to take Det in this game
- Williams boys will be playing due to a judge stopping NFL suspensions; strange thing is that if judge rules in favour this week the Vikes are screwed as suspension will be still 4 games and they will miss the first playoff game...don't you think just take the suspension
- Peterson will have huge day against Det last in rush D
- Det OL has allowed most sacks in NFL and now they get to see Allen
- take Vikes big

Hou @ GB -6
- see above; biggest factor will be the same weather system in Chicago
- GB rush D has allowed 8 TD last 2 games; expect lots of Slaton in the cold
- Schaub is back but Rosenfels did a decent job while he was out
- Hou DB give up big plays and you have a warm weather/dome team going to cold Lambeau; last week Car same situation and upset GB but they are different team than the Texans
- take GB to get back off the mat and give up the points

Clev @ Tenn -13.5
- Tenn #6 rush off has struggled lately until they saw the Lions
- Dorsey is now Clev QB and gets the Tenn D; good luck with all that
- would take Brownies to cover but Tenn wins this game and they clich the div; Titans have motivation to blow this game out- Tenn big

Cin @ Indy -13.5
- thought last week Peyton would have his big day vs Clev
- Indy won last week without scoring an offensive TD
- Indy has won 5 straight despite all the injuries and all games by less than 7 pts
- this is game where Indy offense gets an explosion; Indy easy

Atla @ NO -3
- two teams almost the same; both are different teams at their own home sweet dome
- NO can pass and Atla can rush; whomever controls the clock will win this game
- take Saints at home as slight pick

Phil @ NYG -6.5
- Plaxico-gate; early $ went on Philly due to this but it's an overreaction and the 6.5 line now is above where it started at 6
- Giants just keep on rolling; losing guys and keep winning...will someone please give Coughlin his due as a great coach
- Westbrook is questionable and without him Uggles have no hope
- weather is another big factor with snowy/windy conditions expected
- should be grind it out game and that favours the G-Men
- Giants win and cover

Mia - Buff -1 @ TORONTO
- well it's snowing out and the dome will be closed; so much for Bills advantage when the Fish come up north in December
- Bills are just a bad team; pick them to lose last week and again this week
- Fish +1

KC @ Den -9
- KC has lost 7 straight at Den
- both teams are horrid on the defensive side
- Den coming off huge win @ Jets; could they be flat?
- don't think so as revenge for losing in week 4 at KC
- Den in high scoring blowout

NYJ -3.5 @ SF
- i'm giving my Jets some love now; for 2nd time in 3 weeks they are my BEST BET
- i luv these types of games; JETS after 2 huge wins come up flat at home against an inferior Den team and lose big
- SF an awful team coming off big win being 1st WC team to win in the eastern time zone
- SF won't have much incentive to keep this one close
- Jets get back on track and win big

NE -6.5 @ Sea
- well this was the original Sunday nite game; pulled now for Wash-Balt
- NE ran the ball decently last week against #1 D Pitt; now they get #22 rush D
- NE can't turn the ball over; 5 last week vs Pitt
- NE secondary allowed 21 TD but without H'back Hawks wont be a threat that way
- ever since Kearney went out there has been no pass rush for Sea and their DB have been getting burned
- NE needs this game and expect Cassel to get back to over 400+ yards passing
- weather will be rainy which will be fine for the cold weather Pats
- Pats big

StL @ Ariz -14
- Ariz should be able to pass all game long against #22 StL pass D
- Ariz wins and div is theirs
- take Cards

Dal @ Pitt -3
- ok Boys need this game more
- Pitt allowed 10 pts in each of last 3 games
- weather is factor here too; Boys skill guys won't be able to finesse in the cold windy snowy weather
- Dal secondary gives up big plays and Roth could attack them deep
- only chance I would give Dal is if Barber was playing but he is not
- tough teams win in Dec; who is toughest here?
- take Pitt

Wash @ Balt -5.5
- beltway game
- no one is talking about the Ravens but they are quietly playing great football
- offense is scoring under rookie QB Flacco and the D is #2 vs pass and #3 vs rush
- no one wants to play this team come playoff time
- Portis is playing hurt again this week
- interesting stat Ravens scored 30+ pts 4 of last 5 games; Skins haven't scored 30 yet this year
- Ravens

TB @ Car -3
- both teams 9-3; huge divisional game
- simple fact in big games big D wins; look at last years SB for prime example
- TB 17 Int is 3rd in NFL and Delhomme can be forced into bad throws
- TB like Ravens are quietly playing well under the radar; since Garcia back in as starter the Bucs are 6-1
- take TB on the road


Keefer