Saturday, December 20, 2008

NFL Week 16 - Sunday

Quick Recap



Week 15 8-6-2


Overall 112-107-5


Week 16 (so far) 2-0



As usual in big game Romo throws a dud...Dal loss clinches Car playoff berth.

NFL gets both #1 and #2 teams in each conference playing each other this weekend with home field throughout the playoffs on the line. This week looks like a weekend for the home dogs and the weather; cold and windy across a lot of the US. Let's take a look at the games:
Cin (2-11-1) @ Clev (4-10)
Line: Clev -2.5
- image above sums up this game; windy/snowy in Battle (oops these teams don't battle) of Ohio
- amazing Clev leading league with 22 INT
- Clev 0-4 last 4 games
- Cincy looks like they are actually playing hard now for Lewis' job
- take Bungles as dog
Pitt (11-3) @ Tenn (12-2)
Line: Pitt -2
- as I said in this space last week Tenn is the worse 12 win team I have seen in a very long time
- only chance Tenn would have is with Haynesworth and Vanden Bosch playing; both are OUT
- Steelers a better team period; Steelers easy
SF (5-9) @ StL (2-12)
Line: SF -5.5
- Singletary won his first game as Head Coach against Rams earlier this season
- last game vs SF Jackson (StL-RB) was out
- Rams should be able to take advantage of a weak Niners secondary
- Rams 0-5 against the NFC West
- Niners have had their big wins this year already
- take Rams as dogs at home
SD (6-8) @ TB (9-5)
Line: TB -3.5
- Rivers leads AFC in TD passes and he gets passed over for Pro Bowl for Favre???
- only 1 western team has travelled to eastern time zone and won (SF over Buff)
- TB has not lost at home
- TB have had trouble tackling lately giving up big runs but LT is not the same back
- take Bucs to stay unbeaten at home
NO (7-7) @ Det (0-14)
Line: NO -7
- I really want to see Lions go 0-16 but this looks like their spot for a win
- Det OL is playing decent and Calvin Johnson is the best player in this game
- Lions not only cover the line but win their first game
- UPSET SPECIAL
Mia (9-5) @ KC (2-12)
Line: Mia -3.5
- warm weather Fins travel to cold windy KC with temps to be in the teens...brrrrrrr!!!!!
- Mia is winning with mirrors; offense in red zone in last 3 games 0 TD 8 FG; that doesn't get it done to win a division
- SF last week outplayed Mia but couldn't put points on the board
- another home dog to take this week; Chefs to win outright
Ariz (8-6) @ NE (9-5)
Line: NE -7.5
- Ariz div clinched have little incentive for anything rest of season
- NE will control the game
- only thing that might stop NE from covering is the weather; winter storm warning - snow/ice
- like the Pats to cover but if you bet the game check weather on the field and maybe buy a few points off the 7.5 line
Buff (6-8) @ Den (8-6)
Line: Den -6.5
- Den clinches AFC West with win
- cold, temp in teens but Bills are a cold weather team
- Buff 1-7 in last 8 games
- Buff can control clock in this game against the weak Den "D"
- Bills D gets zero pressure on QB so need to keep Cutler on the bench
- Bills will show up with some pride and upset the Den title celebrations
NYJ (9-5) @ Sea (3-11)
Line: NYJ -3.5
- oh this game scares me being a Jets fan
- snow in Seattle?; I grew up 3 hrs north in Vancouver, BC and Dec snow is just strange...where is the rain?
- Jets are 0-3 on their western trips the losses were to SD/Oak/SF who are a combined 14-28
- last time Favre threw a TD pass over 20 yards was in week 4
- Jets better bring their A game from their D as they got a gift win from Buffy last weekend
- Hawks win outright as another home dog gets it done
Hou (7-7) @ Oak (3-11)
Line: Hou -7
- wouldn't you want to see this Texans in the playoffs; they are playing great down the stretch
- Texans win last 2 games they get their first ever winning season
- key matchup: Mario Williams 11 sacks against an Oak OL that has given up 37 sacks
- Slaton 3 consecutive 100+ yds games and going against #24 rush D
- take Texans to continue the roll
Atla (9-5) @ Minn (9-5)
Line: Minn -3
- my BEST BET and UPSET SPECIAL last week came thru big time
- Minn clinches NFC North with win
- both teams have a physical rushing game and want to control the ground
- problem for Falcons is they can't stop the run and it will AP all-day long
- Pat Williams is out for Minny but Abraham is questionable for the Falcons
- take Vikes at home
Phil (8-5-1) @ Wash (7-7)
Line: Phil -4.5
- two teams going in opposite directions
- Wash 1-5 L6 games
- Phil 3-0 L3 and usual Andy Reid has them peaking in Dec (unlike Cowboys)
- Phil D only allowing 56.7 yds/gm on the ground in last 3 straight wins
- take Uggles at home to continue the roll
Car (11-3) @ NYG (11-3)
Line: NYG -3
- #1 and #2 in NFC battle for home field advantage throughout playoffs
- Car 7-1 L8 games; NYG 0-2 L2 games
- Delhomme makes mistakes on the road; 3 TD 7 INT on road
- take G-Men to get it righted at home
BETS
Pitt -2 (BEST)
NE -6.5 (buy 1 pt depending on weather)
Hou -7
Minn -3
Phil -4.5
WEATHER BETS
Ariz @ NE Under 44.5
Keefer
























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